{ "generatedAt": "2026-05-29T04:40:12.094800+00:00", "site": { "name": "The Long Ball", "url": "https://thelongball.app", "tagline": "Digging the data behind the distance." }, "dataset": "Hot Dog Index", "season": 2023, "description": "Pitcher-facing longball damage allowed leaderboard for The Hot Dog Stand.", "methodologyVersion": "Hot Dog Index v1.1", "sourceNotes": "Uses the canonical Statcast pitch cache and Baseball Savant Home Run Tracker Adjusted mode. The frontend reads this precomputed static JSON and never queries Statcast directly.", "fields": { "pitcher": "Pitcher display name.", "team": "Pitcher's team when reliably available; otherwise an em dash.", "hotDogIndex": "HDI v1.1 plus-style pitcher score for total longball damage allowed.", "hdiVersion": "Hot Dog Index formula version used for this pitcher row.", "cookedPer100Bbe": "Hot Dog damage allowed per 100 batted balls in play.", "totalBbeAllowed": "Total batted-ball events allowed in the cached Statcast sample.", "hrCapableBbeAllowed": "Batted balls allowed that Baseball Savant classifies as having home-run potential in at least one MLB park.", "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": "Batted balls allowed at 105 mph or harder with launch angle between 25 and 40 degrees.", "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": "Share of BBE allowed at 105 mph or harder with launch angle between 25 and 40 degrees. HDI v1.1 component.", "noDoubtersAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear all 30 MLB parks.", "mostlyGoneAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear many parks, but not all.", "doubtersAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear only a small number of parks.", "avgExitVelocityAllowed": "Average exit velocity allowed on HR-capable contact when available.", "avgDistanceAllowed": "Average projected distance allowed on HR-capable contact when available. Reference stat only, not part of HDI v1.1.", "maxExitVelocityAllowed": "Hardest HR-capable contact allowed.", "maxDistanceAllowed": "Longest HR-capable contact allowed.", "meatballPitchesThrown": "Heart-zone pitches below the pitcher's 25th-percentile velocity for that pitch type, with the pitch-type sample safeguard applied." }, "source": { "pitchCache": "data/raw/statcast-bbe-events-2023.csv", "homeRunTracker": "https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/home-runs?player_type=Pitcher&year=2023&cat=adj_xhr&min=0&csv=true", "homeRunTrackerMode": "adj_xhr", "methodology": "HDI v1.1 measures pitcher-side longball damage allowed, anchored by Adjusted xHR/BBE allowed and sharpened by HR-capable contact, no-doubters, Avg EV allowed, and HR-Window Thunder Allowed. A meatball is a Heart-zone pitch thrown below the pitcher's 25th-percentile velocity for that pitch type, with a 15+ pitch sample for that pitch type. The Hot Dog Stand identifies pitchers who have served up the most damage on these mistakes." }, "qualifiedBy": { "minimumHrsAllowed": 5, "minimumBbeAllowed": 50, "meatballMinimumPitches": 15, "meatballPitchTypeMinimumSample": 15 }, "hotDogIndexVersion": "1.1", "hdiVersion": "1.1", "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.325, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.2, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.1, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 0.075, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.3 }, "pitchers": [ { "pitcherId": 656970, "pitcher": "Devin Smeltzer", "team": "MIA", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 9, "gamesStarted": 1, "reliefAppearances": 8, "hotDogIndex": 180.4, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 76, "totalBbeAllowed": 76, "cookedPer100Bbe": 237.4, "hrsAllowed": 7, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 7.1, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0934, "xhrDiffAllowed": -0.1, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 9, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1184, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 4, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0526, "noDoubtersAllowed": 4, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 4, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.4444, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 106.0, "avgDistanceAllowed": 408.0, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 109.3, "maxDistanceAllowed": 440, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-04-10", "batterId": 664761, "pitcherId": 656970, "description": "Alec Bohm homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos scores.", "exitVelocity": 109.3, "distance": 440, "launchAngle": 25.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0934, "percentile": null, "score": 187.3, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1184, "percentile": null, "score": 170.6, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4444, "percentile": null, "score": 166.0, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.0, "percentile": null, "score": 154.7, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0526, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0934, "percentile": null, "score": 187.3, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1184, "percentile": null, "score": 170.6, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4444, "percentile": null, "score": 166.0, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.0, "percentile": null, "score": 154.7, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0526, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 660896, "pitcher": "Jorge Alcala", "team": "MIN", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 14, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 14, "hotDogIndex": 176.6, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 52, "totalBbeAllowed": 52, "cookedPer100Bbe": 339.6, "hrsAllowed": 5, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 6.4, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.1231, "xhrDiffAllowed": -1.4, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 7, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1346, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 2, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0385, "noDoubtersAllowed": 3, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 4, "doubtersAllowed": 0, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.4286, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 104.4, "avgDistanceAllowed": 403.2, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 109.7, "maxDistanceAllowed": 429, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-05-12", "batterId": 666624, "pitcherId": 660896, "description": "Christopher Morel homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Yan Gomes scores.", "exitVelocity": 109.2, "distance": 429, "launchAngle": 31.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1231, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1346, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4286, "percentile": null, "score": 159.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.36, "percentile": null, "score": 102.3, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0385, "percentile": null, "score": 176.3, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1231, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1346, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4286, "percentile": null, "score": 159.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.36, "percentile": null, "score": 102.3, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0385, "percentile": null, "score": 176.3, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 666157, "pitcher": "Nick Lodolo", "team": "CIN", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 9, "gamesStarted": 9, "reliefAppearances": 0, "hotDogIndex": 174.3, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 102, "totalBbeAllowed": 102, "cookedPer100Bbe": 170.9, "hrsAllowed": 10, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 9.1, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0892, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.9, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 10, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.098, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 5, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.049, "noDoubtersAllowed": 5, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 5, "doubtersAllowed": 0, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.5, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 105.9, "avgDistanceAllowed": 404.4, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 112.0, "maxDistanceAllowed": 440, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-04-18", "batterId": 650490, "pitcherId": 666157, "description": "Yandy Diaz homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Mejia scores. Vidal Brujan scores.", "exitVelocity": 111.6, "distance": 440, "launchAngle": 23.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0892, "percentile": null, "score": 184.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.098, "percentile": null, "score": 141.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5, "percentile": null, "score": 175.5, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.89, "percentile": null, "score": 150.4, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.049, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0892, "percentile": null, "score": 184.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.098, "percentile": null, "score": 141.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5, "percentile": null, "score": 175.5, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.89, "percentile": null, "score": 150.4, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.049, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 669169, "pitcher": "Jonathan Heasley", "team": "KC", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 13, "gamesStarted": 1, "reliefAppearances": 12, "hotDogIndex": 169.6, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 50, "totalBbeAllowed": 50, "cookedPer100Bbe": 339.2, "hrsAllowed": 5, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 4.3, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.086, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.7, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 5, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 2, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.04, "noDoubtersAllowed": 3, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 2, "doubtersAllowed": 0, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.6, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 104.5, "avgDistanceAllowed": 415.6, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 110.1, "maxDistanceAllowed": 461, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-08-11", "batterId": 575929, "pitcherId": 669169, "description": "Willson Contreras homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Nolan Gorman scores.", "exitVelocity": 110.1, "distance": 461, "launchAngle": 31.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.086, "percentile": null, "score": 180.0, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1, "percentile": null, "score": 144.2, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.6, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.46, "percentile": null, "score": 103.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.04, "percentile": null, "score": 184.6, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.086, "percentile": null, "score": 180.0, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1, "percentile": null, "score": 144.2, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.6, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.46, "percentile": null, "score": 103.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.04, "percentile": null, "score": 184.6, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 446372, "pitcher": "Corey Kluber", "team": "BOS", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 17, "gamesStarted": 11, "reliefAppearances": 6, "hotDogIndex": 168.4, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 204, "totalBbeAllowed": 204, "cookedPer100Bbe": 82.5, "hrsAllowed": 17, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 16.3, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0799, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.7, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 22, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1078, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 8, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0392, "noDoubtersAllowed": 8, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 10, "doubtersAllowed": 4, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.3636, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 106.0, "avgDistanceAllowed": 403.4, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 111.0, "maxDistanceAllowed": 434, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-04-13", "batterId": 650490, "pitcherId": 446372, "description": "Yandy Diaz homers (4) on a line drive to center field.", "exitVelocity": 111.0, "distance": 434, "launchAngle": 19.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0799, "percentile": null, "score": 174.7, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1078, "percentile": null, "score": 158.2, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.3636, "percentile": null, "score": 142.2, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.9778, "percentile": null, "score": 152.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0392, "percentile": null, "score": 181.0, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0799, "percentile": null, "score": 174.7, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1078, "percentile": null, "score": 158.2, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.3636, "percentile": null, "score": 142.2, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.9778, "percentile": null, "score": 152.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0392, "percentile": null, "score": 181.0, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 458681, "pitcher": "Lance Lynn", "team": "LAD", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 34, "gamesStarted": 34, "reliefAppearances": 0, "hotDogIndex": 167.5, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 550, "totalBbeAllowed": 550, "cookedPer100Bbe": 30.5, "hrsAllowed": 48, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 43.6, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0793, "xhrDiffAllowed": 4.4, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 60, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1091, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 23, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0418, "noDoubtersAllowed": 21, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 31, "doubtersAllowed": 8, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.35, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 105.1, "avgDistanceAllowed": 405.3, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 114.3, "maxDistanceAllowed": 461, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-07-21", "batterId": 621439, "pitcherId": 458681, "description": "Byron Buxton homers (16) on a line drive to center field. Max Kepler scores. Matt Wallner scores.", "exitVelocity": 114.3, "distance": 427, "launchAngle": 18.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0793, "percentile": null, "score": 170.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1091, "percentile": null, "score": 160.5, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.35, "percentile": null, "score": 136.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.0938, "percentile": null, "score": 121.3, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0418, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0793, "percentile": null, "score": 170.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1091, "percentile": null, "score": 160.5, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.35, "percentile": null, "score": 136.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.0938, "percentile": null, "score": 121.3, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0418, "percentile": null, "score": 190.7, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 700363, "pitcher": "AJ Smith-Shawver", "team": "ATL", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 9, "gamesStarted": 5, "reliefAppearances": 4, "hotDogIndex": 165.9, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 81, "totalBbeAllowed": 81, "cookedPer100Bbe": 204.8, "hrsAllowed": 10, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 7.2, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0889, "xhrDiffAllowed": 2.8, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 11, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1358, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 3, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.037, "noDoubtersAllowed": 3, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 6, "doubtersAllowed": 2, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.2727, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 103.8, "avgDistanceAllowed": 396.5, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 112.2, "maxDistanceAllowed": 449, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-10-11", "batterId": 592206, "pitcherId": 700363, "description": "Nick Castellanos homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.", "exitVelocity": 112.2, "distance": 449, "launchAngle": 24.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0889, "percentile": null, "score": 182.1, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1358, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.2727, "percentile": null, "score": 107.4, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 103.81, "percentile": null, "score": 83.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.037, "percentile": null, "score": 171.9, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0889, "percentile": null, "score": 182.1, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1358, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.2727, "percentile": null, "score": 107.4, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 103.81, "percentile": null, "score": 83.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.037, "percentile": null, "score": 171.9, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 488984, "pitcher": "Tommy Hunter", "team": "NYM", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 17, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 17, "hotDogIndex": 164.6, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 84, "totalBbeAllowed": 84, "cookedPer100Bbe": 196.0, "hrsAllowed": 6, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 6.7, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0798, "xhrDiffAllowed": -0.7, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 9, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1071, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 3, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0357, "noDoubtersAllowed": 4, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 4, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.4444, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 105.7, "avgDistanceAllowed": 406.3, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 110.7, "maxDistanceAllowed": 417, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2023-06-08", "batterId": 645277, "pitcherId": 488984, "description": "Ozzie Albies homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. 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