{ "generatedAt": "2026-05-29T04:40:18.364883+00:00", "site": { "name": "The Long Ball", "url": "https://thelongball.app", "tagline": "Digging the data behind the distance." }, "dataset": "Hot Dog Index", "season": 2025, "description": "Pitcher-facing longball damage allowed leaderboard for The Hot Dog Stand.", "methodologyVersion": "Hot Dog Index v1.1", "sourceNotes": "Uses the canonical Statcast pitch cache and Baseball Savant Home Run Tracker Adjusted mode. The frontend reads this precomputed static JSON and never queries Statcast directly.", "fields": { "pitcher": "Pitcher display name.", "team": "Pitcher's team when reliably available; otherwise an em dash.", "hotDogIndex": "HDI v1.1 plus-style pitcher score for total longball damage allowed.", "hdiVersion": "Hot Dog Index formula version used for this pitcher row.", "cookedPer100Bbe": "Hot Dog damage allowed per 100 batted balls in play.", "totalBbeAllowed": "Total batted-ball events allowed in the cached Statcast sample.", "hrCapableBbeAllowed": "Batted balls allowed that Baseball Savant classifies as having home-run potential in at least one MLB park.", "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": "Batted balls allowed at 105 mph or harder with launch angle between 25 and 40 degrees.", "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": "Share of BBE allowed at 105 mph or harder with launch angle between 25 and 40 degrees. HDI v1.1 component.", "noDoubtersAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear all 30 MLB parks.", "mostlyGoneAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear many parks, but not all.", "doubtersAllowed": "HR-capable batted balls allowed that would clear only a small number of parks.", "avgExitVelocityAllowed": "Average exit velocity allowed on HR-capable contact when available.", "avgDistanceAllowed": "Average projected distance allowed on HR-capable contact when available. Reference stat only, not part of HDI v1.1.", "maxExitVelocityAllowed": "Hardest HR-capable contact allowed.", "maxDistanceAllowed": "Longest HR-capable contact allowed.", "meatballPitchesThrown": "Heart-zone pitches below the pitcher's 25th-percentile velocity for that pitch type, with the pitch-type sample safeguard applied." }, "source": { "pitchCache": "data/raw/statcast-bbe-events-2025.csv", "homeRunTracker": "https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/home-runs?player_type=Pitcher&year=2025&cat=adj_xhr&min=0&csv=true", "homeRunTrackerMode": "adj_xhr", "methodology": "HDI v1.1 measures pitcher-side longball damage allowed, anchored by Adjusted xHR/BBE allowed and sharpened by HR-capable contact, no-doubters, Avg EV allowed, and HR-Window Thunder Allowed. A meatball is a Heart-zone pitch thrown below the pitcher's 25th-percentile velocity for that pitch type, with a 15+ pitch sample for that pitch type. The Hot Dog Stand identifies pitchers who have served up the most damage on these mistakes." }, "qualifiedBy": { "minimumHrsAllowed": 5, "minimumBbeAllowed": 50, "meatballMinimumPitches": 15, "meatballPitchTypeMinimumSample": 15 }, "hotDogIndexVersion": "1.1", "hdiVersion": "1.1", "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.325, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.2, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.1, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 0.075, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.3 }, "pitchers": [ { "pitcherId": 663455, "pitcher": "Konnor Pilkington", "team": "WSH", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 33, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 33, "hotDogIndex": 183.6, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 79, "totalBbeAllowed": 79, "cookedPer100Bbe": 232.4, "hrsAllowed": 7, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 8.1, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.1025, "xhrDiffAllowed": -1.1, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 12, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1519, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 5, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0633, "noDoubtersAllowed": 5, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 5, "doubtersAllowed": 2, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.4167, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 106.7, "avgDistanceAllowed": 416.3, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 109.3, "maxDistanceAllowed": 456, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-08-15", "batterId": 656941, "pitcherId": 663455, "description": "Kyle Schwarber homers (43) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryson Stott scores. Brandon Marsh scores.", "exitVelocity": 109.3, "distance": 456, "launchAngle": 30.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1025, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1519, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4167, "percentile": null, "score": 139.1, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.7, "percentile": null, "score": 163.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0633, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1025, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1519, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.4167, "percentile": null, "score": 139.1, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.7, "percentile": null, "score": 163.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0633, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 683175, "pitcher": "Connor Phillips", "team": "CIN", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 22, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 22, "hotDogIndex": 179.3, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 56, "totalBbeAllowed": 56, "cookedPer100Bbe": 320.2, "hrsAllowed": 5, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 4.8, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0857, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.2, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 6, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1071, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 3, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0536, "noDoubtersAllowed": 4, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 1, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.6667, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 108.9, "avgDistanceAllowed": 421.0, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 113.5, "maxDistanceAllowed": 454, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-09-30", "batterId": 660271, "pitcherId": 683175, "description": "Shohei Ohtani homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Enrique Hern\u00e1ndez scores.", "exitVelocity": 113.5, "distance": 454, "launchAngle": 34.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0857, "percentile": null, "score": 177.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1071, "percentile": null, "score": 154.9, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.6667, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 108.88, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0536, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0857, "percentile": null, "score": 177.6, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1071, "percentile": null, "score": 154.9, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.6667, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 108.88, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0536, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 680684, "pitcher": "Gunnar Hoglund", "team": "ATH", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 6, "gamesStarted": 6, "reliefAppearances": 0, "hotDogIndex": 172.0, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 105, "totalBbeAllowed": 105, "cookedPer100Bbe": 163.8, "hrsAllowed": 10, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 9.4, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0895, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.6, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 11, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1048, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 8, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0762, "noDoubtersAllowed": 4, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 7, "doubtersAllowed": 0, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.3636, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 107.7, "avgDistanceAllowed": 408.3, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 111.1, "maxDistanceAllowed": 439, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-05-31", "batterId": 680718, "pitcherId": 680684, "description": "Addison Barger homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.", "exitVelocity": 109.4, "distance": 428, "launchAngle": 25.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0895, "percentile": null, "score": 180.4, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1048, "percentile": null, "score": 149.9, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.3636, "percentile": null, "score": 124.2, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 107.74, "percentile": null, "score": 182.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0762, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0895, "percentile": null, "score": 180.4, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1048, "percentile": null, "score": 149.9, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.3636, "percentile": null, "score": 124.2, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 107.74, "percentile": null, "score": 182.6, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0762, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 641482, "pitcher": "Nestor Cortes", "team": "SD", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 9, "gamesStarted": 9, "reliefAppearances": 0, "hotDogIndex": 171.8, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 119, "totalBbeAllowed": 119, "cookedPer100Bbe": 144.4, "hrsAllowed": 13, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 12.3, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.1034, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.7, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 18, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1513, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 6, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0504, "noDoubtersAllowed": 5, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 11, "doubtersAllowed": 2, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.2778, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 104.5, "avgDistanceAllowed": 403.6, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 115.0, "maxDistanceAllowed": 468, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-03-29", "batterId": 592450, "pitcherId": 641482, "description": "Aaron Judge homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.", "exitVelocity": 115.0, "distance": 468, "launchAngle": 30.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1034, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1513, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.2778, "percentile": null, "score": 98.9, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.4769, "percentile": null, "score": 93.5, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0504, "percentile": null, "score": 182.6, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1034, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1513, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.2778, "percentile": null, "score": 98.9, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 104.4769, "percentile": null, "score": 93.5, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0504, "percentile": null, "score": 182.6, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 678821, "pitcher": "Luis Peralta", "team": "COL", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 26, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 26, "hotDogIndex": 169.9, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 73, "totalBbeAllowed": 73, "cookedPer100Bbe": 232.7, "hrsAllowed": 6, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 5.9, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0808, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.1, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 7, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.0959, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 4, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0548, "noDoubtersAllowed": 4, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 2, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.5714, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 106.6, "avgDistanceAllowed": 428.0, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 110.9, "maxDistanceAllowed": 474, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-09-07", "batterId": 657656, "pitcherId": 678821, "description": "Ram\u00f3n Laureano homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.", "exitVelocity": 110.9, "distance": 438, "launchAngle": 23.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0808, "percentile": null, "score": 171.0, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0959, "percentile": null, "score": 136.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5714, "percentile": null, "score": 178.5, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.6167, "percentile": null, "score": 160.2, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0548, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0808, "percentile": null, "score": 171.0, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0959, "percentile": null, "score": 136.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5714, "percentile": null, "score": 178.5, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 106.6167, "percentile": null, "score": 160.2, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0548, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 502043, "pitcher": "Kyle Gibson", "team": "BAL", "pitcherRole": "SP", "appearances": 4, "gamesStarted": 4, "reliefAppearances": 0, "hotDogIndex": 168.7, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 56, "totalBbeAllowed": 56, "cookedPer100Bbe": 301.2, "hrsAllowed": 7, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 6.8, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.1214, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.2, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 8, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1429, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 2, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0357, "noDoubtersAllowed": 5, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 2, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.625, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 102.2, "avgDistanceAllowed": 396.6, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 107.9, "maxDistanceAllowed": 435, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-05-10", "batterId": 666176, "pitcherId": 502043, "description": "Jo Adell homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.", "exitVelocity": 107.9, "distance": 435, "launchAngle": 27.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1214, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1429, "percentile": null, "score": 186.3, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.625, "percentile": null, "score": 186.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 102.2429, "percentile": null, "score": 33.5, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0357, "percentile": null, "score": 161.0, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.1214, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.1429, "percentile": null, "score": 186.3, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.625, "percentile": null, "score": 186.3, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 102.2429, "percentile": null, "score": 33.5, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0357, "percentile": null, "score": 161.0, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 592155, "pitcher": "Cam Booser", "team": "CWS", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 43, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 43, "hotDogIndex": 167.2, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 93, "totalBbeAllowed": 93, "cookedPer100Bbe": 179.8, "hrsAllowed": 8, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 7.5, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0806, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.5, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 9, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.0968, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 6, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0645, "noDoubtersAllowed": 5, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 3, "doubtersAllowed": 1, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.5556, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 105.6, "avgDistanceAllowed": 398.1, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 109.6, "maxDistanceAllowed": 417, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-03-27", "batterId": 681351, "pitcherId": 592155, "description": "Logan O'Hoppe homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.", "exitVelocity": 109.6, "distance": 417, "launchAngle": 34.0 }, "hdiComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0806, "percentile": null, "score": 169.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0968, "percentile": null, "score": 138.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5556, "percentile": null, "score": 173.7, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.5875, "percentile": null, "score": 130.0, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0645, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } }, "hotDogComponents": { "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": { "value": 0.0806, "percentile": null, "score": 169.8, "weight": 0.325 }, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0968, "percentile": null, "score": 138.1, "weight": 0.2 }, "noDoubterRateAllowed": { "value": 0.5556, "percentile": null, "score": 173.7, "weight": 0.1 }, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": { "value": 105.5875, "percentile": null, "score": 130.0, "weight": 0.075 }, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": { "value": 0.0645, "percentile": null, "score": 190.8, "weight": 0.3 } } }, { "pitcherId": 643338, "pitcher": "Chad Green", "team": "TOR", "pitcherRole": "RP", "appearances": 47, "gamesStarted": 0, "reliefAppearances": 47, "hotDogIndex": 165.1, "hdiVersion": "1.1", "bbeAllowed": 146, "totalBbeAllowed": 146, "cookedPer100Bbe": 113.1, "hrsAllowed": 14, "adjustedXhrAllowed": 13.7, "adjustedXhrPerBbeAllowed": 0.0938, "xhrDiffAllowed": 0.3, "hrCapableBbeAllowed": 16, "hrCapableBbeRateAllowed": 0.1096, "hrWindowThunderBbeAllowed": 6, "hrWindowThunderRateAllowed": 0.0411, "noDoubtersAllowed": 7, "mostlyGoneAllowed": 9, "doubtersAllowed": 0, "noDoubterRateAllowed": 0.4375, "meatballPitchesThrown": 0, "meatballHrs": 0, "meatballHitsAllowed": 0, "meatballAvgEvAllowed": null, "luckyDogRate": null, "avgExitVelocityAllowed": 104.4, "avgDistanceAllowed": 391.4, "maxExitVelocityAllowed": 107.8, "maxDistanceAllowed": 417, "worstServedEvent": { "gameDate": "2025-04-30", "batterId": 665966, "pitcherId": 643338, "description": "Carlos Narv\u00e1ez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. 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