Probable Starter Context
Stack Watch
Pitcher-specific Stack Score for probable starters, with opponent lineup LBI, HR park factor, and weather shown as context only.
Slate date: 2026-10-07
Generated: 2026-10-07 22:15 UTC
Generated: 2026-10-07 22:15 UTC
Partial slate: some lineups are still using team-power proxies. Stack scores will update as MLB publishes probable pitchers and confirmed lineups.
Thunder Allowed
HR-Window Thunder Allowed is the share of batted balls allowed at 105+ mph with a launch angle between 25° and 40°. Stack Score ranks probable starters by this HR-shaped contact signal, with xHR/BBE allowed and HR-capable contact as support.
Color Key
Mustard rows are limited-sample starters. Full-sample rows are unshaded.
| # | Pitcher | Stack Score | Thunder Allowed | xHR/BBE Allowed | HR-Capable / BBE | HDI | Opp LBI | Park | Weather | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel EspinoCLE away vs CWS | 96.7 | 2.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 97.9confirmed | Rate FieldSlight HR Boost | 70 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attackable thunder profile; Wind context available | |
| 2 | Tyler GlasnowLAD away vs ATL | 72.3 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 109.6 | 109.0confirmed | Truist ParkSignificant HR Suppressor | 77 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Wind context available |
| 3 | Walker BuehlerSD home vs MIL | 48.3 | 1.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 88.3 | 93.1team proxy | Petco ParkNeutral | 78 F, 5 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Lineup power lighter; Wind context available |
| 4 | Nick MartinezTB away vs NYY | 47.4 | 1.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 97.1 | 106.5confirmed | Yankee StadiumSignificant HR Boost | 57 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Wind context available |
| 5 | Tyler MahleATL home vs LAD | 46.5 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 86.6 | 104.8confirmed | Truist ParkSignificant HR Suppressor | 77 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Wind context available |
| 6 | Sean NewcombCWS home vs CLE | 27.2 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 60.6 | 88.3confirmed | Rate FieldSlight HR Boost | 70 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Lineup power lighter; Wind context available |
| 7 | Robert GasserMIL away vs SD | 23.6 | 0.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 87.8 | 100.8confirmed | Petco ParkNeutral | 78 F, 5 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Wind context available |
| 8 | Max FriedNYY home vs TB | 2.1 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 42.9 | 96.2confirmed | Yankee StadiumSignificant HR Boost | 57 F, 6 mph wind, 0% rain | Attack profile elevated; Wind context available |
Stack Score remains pitcher-specific. Opponent lineup LBI, HR park factor, and weather are context only.